Why Use Bollinger Bands Indicator in Forex Trading?
Bollinger bands will help you to predict trending movements, act on trend reversals and finally, time trading
positions with greater accuracy for bigger profits. The Bollinger bands must be used in combination with other
trading indicators.
What are Bollinger Bands?
Developed by John Bollinger, Bollinger bands are volatility bands drawn around a simple moving average. You
calculate Bollinger bands using the standard deviation of price over the same period as moving averages and plotted
as lines above and below the moving average.
As moving averages have been traditionally used to identify the underlying trend, Bollinger bands combine this
with the volatility of the individual market (or the standard deviation) – to plot a trading envelope.
The distance between upper and lower Bollinger bands reflects the volatility of the currency traded.
As prices trend away from the longer-term average, the standard deviation rises - and thus the bands will
fluctuate in varying amounts, away from the average.
Why Bollinger Bands Work
In any market, the value of currency traded tends to rise slowly over the longer term.
Prices may spike short term, but will normally dip back to the longer term moving average (the centre band) -
which represents realistic value.
The volatility of the outer bands therefore gives us an indication of how volatile prices are, and how far
away price is from longer-term value.
Most price movements are caused as much by trader psychology, the latest economic news, and the supply and
demand backdrop - and this scenario is reflected in the concept of Bollinger bands.
What makes Bollinger Bands so useful?
Bollinger bands perform three major functions for Forex traders:
1. Spotting a Breakout and New Trend
Markets move between low volatility trading ranges, to high volatility trending moves.
When a market makes trades in a narrow range, the Bollinger bands will narrow together and this shows a market
with extremely low volatility - however this is a warning that a high volatility trending move is likely to
follow.
When prices break above or below the upper or lower band, it is an indication that a breakout and trend is about
to develop - traders will then take a position in the direction of the breakout, and try to ride the trend.
2. Timing Entry Levels in a Trend
We all know long term currency trends last for months or years - but we need to get in at the best risk / reward
level.
Bollinger bands will help get you in to the trend and time your entry.
All you do is watch for dips toward the centre band - and enter in the direction of the trend.
To time your trade entries with greater accuracy, and filter out “false” breaks use a momentum indicator -
such as the stochastic indicator, to confirm the trend.
3. Spotting Market Reversals
When the price touches the top of the band, a sell signal is generated, and prices should revert back
to the middle moving average band.
If the price touches the bottom of the band, traders can buy a currency, assuming that it is oversold, and will
rally back towards the top of the band.
The spacing, or width of the band, is dependent on the volatility of the market, but gives Forex traders a clear
indication of where currency prices will go, and when to enter a trade.
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